Political tension is steadily mounting in Lagos as permutations for the 2027 governorship race begin to take shape, with Deputy Governor Obafemi Hamzat emerging at the centre of a growing controversy.
Insiders within the All Progressives Congress (APC) suggest that moves may be underway to position Hamzat as a consensus candidate, allegedly backed by the powerful Governance Advisory Council (GAC). However, the development is reportedly fueling unease among grassroots members of the party.
Observers say the situation reflects a familiar pattern in Lagos politics, often described as the “Baba Sope” culture—where decisions taken by influential party leaders are passed down as directives. Critics argue that such an approach risks alienating party loyalists who increasingly demand transparency and participation in candidate selection.
Hamzat, a long-serving figure in Lagos governance, has held key positions since 2005, including commissioner roles and nearly eight years as deputy governor. While his experience is widely acknowledged, questions are being raised about equity and concentration of power within the party.
Analysts note that by 2027, Hamzat would have spent over two decades in top-level government positions, prompting debate over whether leadership opportunities are being fairly distributed or recycled among a select few.
Historical precedent also adds another layer to the discussion. Lagos has yet to produce a governor who rose directly from the deputy governorship position, with past occupants of the office failing to make that transition. Political watchers warn that any attempt to break that pattern through perceived imposition could deepen internal divisions.
The controversy is further shaped by the aftermath of the 2023 elections, where the APC faced unexpected setbacks in Lagos. Many within the party attribute those results to internal dissatisfaction, as some members reportedly withheld support in protest against perceived top-down decision-making.
“There is a growing awareness among party members and voters alike,” a political analyst noted, “that democracy must be participatory. When people feel excluded, they disengage—or push back.”
Concerns are also being raised about claims of a pre-arranged consensus around Hamzat’s candidacy. Party insiders insist that no formal agreement has been reached, warning that promoting such narratives could erode trust and deepen skepticism within party ranks.
The debate points to a broader shift in Lagos politics, where a new generation of voters and party members is increasingly resistant to traditional power structures and more assertive about its role in shaping outcomes.
Stakeholders warn that imposing a candidate could trigger internal resistance, voter apathy, and reputational damage for the party ahead of the 2027 elections.
As the political landscape evolves, analysts say the APC faces a critical test: whether to maintain established power dynamics or embrace a more open and competitive process.
For now, the message from within the ranks appears clear—any attempt to sideline democratic processes could come at a significant cost, both for the party and its electoral prospects in Lagos.